２歲11個月定4歲入學好？？？

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tommyzoe | 2006-06-06 12:24
Why do you always assume that all parents must join BK?

Quote:
TWLI 寫道:
點解pm多過am禁多?如果06真係有2班am & 2班pm,我估差不多會有20%,相信會是女生從pm轉到am。


:-P
kammielam | 2006-06-06 22:12
咪係lor...好多媽咪無上bk架..你咁計一d都唔準... :-o :-o Quote:
tommyzoe 寫道:
Why do you always assume that all parents must join BK?

Quote:
TWLI 寫道:
點解pm多過am禁多?如果06真係有2班am & 2班pm,我估差不多會有20%,相信會是女生從pm轉到am。


:-P
TWLI | 2006-06-07 10:02
呢個係统計學上嘅一個隨機抽樣方式,正如某某競選前嘅預測都不可能找所有選民分析,只有抽樣。首先我假設am或pm嘅家長無理由有上或唔上bk嘅偏向,男生或女生嘅家長亦然。
雖然依家sample size唔算多,但已看到一種不尋常的趨向。這簡單嘅統計之前曾發現am少過pm好多而am,pm班是一樣,便已預計有很多pm會轉到am,結果發生了直至am數=pm數,但近期pm又出奇的多起來,故相信是宣幼再收備取生到pm,之後再接受pm轉am嘅申請。
至於男女生問題係我相信宣幼希望am & pm都有一定女生。
無可否認這始終是統計分析,最終結果也不能說實。
但到底結果是否如此,大家姑且拭目以待。

Quote:
kammielam 寫道:
咪係lor...好多媽咪無上bk架..你咁計一d都唔準... :-o :-o Quote:
tommyzoe 寫道:
Why do you always assume that all parents must join BK?

Quote:
TWLI 寫道:
點解pm多過am禁多?如果06真係有2班am & 2班pm,我估差不多會有20%,相信會是女生從pm轉到am。


:-P
jenjen | 2006-06-07 13:03
jenjen | 2006-06-07 13:22
jenjen | 2006-06-07 22:37
我囡囡係正選不是備取生, 因之前我太忙冇上bk, 最近加上list到 :lol:
至於男女生問題, 我覺得對pm男生絕對不公平 :-x anyway 好多謝你的分析 ;-)
tommyzoe | 2006-06-08 14:00
Sampling Inspection is not done in this way. Sampling Inspection is the technique of performing the functions of inspection by examining some of the articles.

Since acceptance sampling contains two different types of data, two different sampling plans can be created. All attribute sampling plans are based on data that can be counted. In attribute plans, a sample is taken from a lot with each unit classified as acceptable or defective. The number of defects is then compared to a specified acceptance number, in order to make an accept or reject decision for the lot.

Examples of acceptance plans are MIL-STD-105 (ANSI/ASQC Z1.4), MIL-STD-1235(ORD) and Dodge-Romig Tables.

In variable sampling plans, a sample is taken and one or more quality characteristic measurements are made on each unit. From these measurements, the sample average or standard deviation is developed to be compared against a critical value defined in the plan. Based upon the comparison, a decision is made to accept or reject the lot.

Examples of variable sampling plans are MIL-STD-414 (ANSI/ASQC Z1.9).

This is for your reference. :-P

Quote:
TWLI 寫道:
呢個係统計學上嘅一個隨機抽樣方式,正如某某競選前嘅預測都不可能找所有選民分析,只有抽樣。首先我假設am或pm嘅家長無理由有上或唔上bk嘅偏向,男生或女生嘅家長亦然。
雖然依家sample size唔算多,但已看到一種不尋常的趨向。這簡單嘅統計之前曾發現am少過pm好多而am,pm班是一樣,便已預計有很多pm會轉到am,結果發生了直至am數=pm數,但近期pm又出奇的多起來,故相信是宣幼再收備取生到pm,之後再接受pm轉am嘅申請。
至於男女生問題係我相信宣幼希望am & pm都有一定女生。
無可否認這始終是統計分析,最終結果也不能說實。
但到底結果是否如此,大家姑且拭目以待。

Quote:
kammielam 寫道:
咪係lor...好多媽咪無上bk架..你咁計一d都唔準... :-o :-o Quote:
tommyzoe 寫道:
Why do you always assume that all parents must join BK?

Quote:
TWLI 寫道:
點解pm多過am禁多?如果06真係有2班am & 2班pm,我估差不多會有20%,相信會是女生從pm轉到am。


:-P
TWLI | 2006-06-09 09:49
tommyzoe,
So how to apply your plan to this case !?
If it is not applicable, is the previous simple counting method a plactical way to do so?
Do you agree with my forecast that some pm girls will move to am? If not, I would like to see the outcome to evaluate my estimation.
Anyway, I think you have a very strong theoretical background, but my interesting is to have a casual or even 八掛 talking in the Kindergarten topic. Maybe let us do the strict statistical analysis in another topics.

Quote:
tommyzoe 寫道:
Sampling Inspection is not done in this way. Sampling Inspection is the technique of performing the functions of inspection by examining some of the articles.

Since acceptance sampling contains two different types of data, two different sampling plans can be created. All attribute sampling plans are based on data that can be counted. In attribute plans, a sample is taken from a lot with each unit classified as acceptable or defective. The number of defects is then compared to a specified acceptance number, in order to make an accept or reject decision for the lot.

Examples of acceptance plans are MIL-STD-105 (ANSI/ASQC Z1.4), MIL-STD-1235(ORD) and Dodge-Romig Tables.

In variable sampling plans, a sample is taken and one or more quality characteristic measurements are made on each unit. From these measurements, the sample average or standard deviation is developed to be compared against a critical value defined in the plan. Based upon the comparison, a decision is made to accept or reject the lot.

Examples of variable sampling plans are MIL-STD-414 (ANSI/ASQC Z1.9).

This is for your reference. :-P

Quote:
TWLI 寫道:
呢個係统計學上嘅一個隨機抽樣方式,正如某某競選前嘅預測都不可能找所有選民分析,只有抽樣。首先我假設am或pm嘅家長無理由有上或唔上bk嘅偏向,男生或女生嘅家長亦然。
雖然依家sample size唔算多,但已看到一種不尋常的趨向。這簡單嘅統計之前曾發現am少過pm好多而am,pm班是一樣,便已預計有很多pm會轉到am,結果發生了直至am數=pm數,但近期pm又出奇的多起來,故相信是宣幼再收備取生到pm,之後再接受pm轉am嘅申請。
至於男女生問題係我相信宣幼希望am & pm都有一定女生。
無可否認這始終是統計分析,最終結果也不能說實。
但到底結果是否如此,大家姑且拭目以待。

Quote:
kammielam 寫道:
咪係lor...好多媽咪無上bk架..你咁計一d都唔準... :-o :-o Quote:
tommyzoe 寫道:
Why do you always assume that all parents must join BK?

Quote:
TWLI 寫道:
點解pm多過am禁多?如果06真係有2班am & 2班pm,我估差不多會有20%,相信會是女生從pm轉到am。


:-P
tommyzoe | 2006-06-09 10:27
Your estimation can be just for fun. It is actually not based on statistical principle. However, that's ok and thanks for your estimation. Pls. take it easy. Be smile! It is just a share.
:-P

Quote:
TWLI 寫道:
tommyzoe,
So how to apply your plan to this case !?
If it is not applicable, is the previous simple counting method a plactical way to do so?
Do you agree with my forecast that some pm girls will move to am? If not, I would like to see the outcome to evaluate my estimation.
Anyway, I think you have a very strong theoretical background, but my interesting is to have a casual or even 八掛 talking in the Kindergarten topic. Maybe let us do the strict statistical analysis in another topics.

Wesley-Lam | 2006-06-09 20:50
fortune-telling can be say as a kind of statistic, but we can't fit in the fortune-telling to any statistic theory.
TWLI use the fun and logic way to forecast which like financial market consultants, they using kind of statistic, which like past average market adjustment was 10% and now still need to fall another 2% to reach the past adjustment statistic, to explaint the market and make their forecast.

I think TWLI next time having such forecast, please add the phase --This only personal optinion, it is not suggest reader to rely on and reader should has their own believe :-)
Just have fun and as I have a long time no show, finding some topic to show up. (Only for show up, and have fun)
Quote:
tommyzoe 寫道:
Your estimation can be just for fun. It is actually not based on statistical principle. However, that's ok and thanks for your estimation. Pls. take it easy. Be smile! It is just a share.
:-P

Quote:
TWLI 寫道:
tommyzoe,
So how to apply your plan to this case !?
If it is not applicable, is the previous simple counting method a plactical way to do so?
Do you agree with my forecast that some pm girls will move to am? If not, I would like to see the outcome to evaluate my estimation.
Anyway, I think you have a very strong theoretical background, but my interesting is to have a casual or even 八掛 talking in the Kindergarten topic. Maybe let us do the strict statistical analysis in another topics.

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